The Kairos experiment examines whether commonly used evaluations really measure memory in AI agents. It tests two common instruments: an LLM judge that scores free-text responses and a recognition probe. The first check gives judges a real memory document and matched counterfeits, including a fabricated agent biography and a version whose relational structure was scrambled. Across seven items, three independent judges failed to reliably distinguish the fabricated memory from the real one on the main identity-marker result; the memory-reference result was inconclusive because the sample was small. Re-scoring also showed that absolute judge scores shifted across sessions, supporting the use of anchored contrasts rather than raw scores. The second check runs 24 recognition probes with the memory document removed. Five of seven tested models scored 62.5% to 79.2% without memory, showing that they could often reason toward the plausible answer rather than recall it. The authors therefore discard that probe as invalid for those models. The third check uses two equally likely interlocutors, balanced encounters, and alternatives with swapped bindings, removing an obvious plausibility advantage. Across two independent agent corpora, models performed far better with veridical documents than with binding-corrupted documents, while no-memory performance stayed at chance among answered probes. The authors stress that this demonstrates behavior tracking document content, not an inner belief state, and that the symmetric design has not been generalized beyond two alternatives. They release code and data and recommend testing counterfeit memories, empty-context baselines, and corrupted bindings before claiming that an agent remembers.
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